Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
ZYB Esport and Skillcamp Esport are due to meet in a single best-of-one in the LFL Regular Season, so the price should be read as a very binary view on whether the game is played cleanly and ends with an official winner. The current 0% YES implies the market is effectively assigning no chance to a ZYB win, which is unusually compressed for a live esports fixture and often reflects thin participation rather than a fully efficient consensus. In a match with this format, even modest late money can move the book sharply because there is only one map and no chance to recover from an early draft edge.
Comparable esports markets tend to reprice most sharply when payment and on-ramp friction changes who can enter quickly. If deposits are easy through Klarna-style instant funding, SEPA transfers, or USDC rails, liquidity can appear sooner and spreads can tighten; if withdrawal paths are slower or more manual, participation often skews smaller and more reactive. That matters in low-visibility league matches like this one, where market depth is usually driven less by broad public interest than by a small number of informed traders and fast capital flows.
For catalysts, the key variables are whether the fixture actually starts, whether the official LFL schedule changes, and whether any late roster or venue update appears before lock. Kalshi’s own league-of-legends rules note that if a match is forfeited, cancelled, or otherwise not played before gameplay begins, the market resolves to fair market price, while an in-play forfeit follows the organiser’s official ruling[2]. A past listing for the same pairing on EGamersWorld records ZYB winning 1-0 in 40 minutes, which is useful only as a loose historical comparator rather than a strong predictor of today’s outcome[1].
Methodology
This page compares LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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