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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Trade "LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

First Blood in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 100% Match Winner 100% Volume: $6.3M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 3?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 4 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?0%

Market context

T1 and Karmine Corp will contest the Upper Bracket final of the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational Play-In in Daejeon, South Korea, with the match scheduled to begin on 29 June at 03:00 UTC. This Best-of-5 series determines which roster advances to the next stage of the tournament, and the current market pricing reflects a near-certain T1 victory.

Historically, similar MSI play-in matchups between dominant Korean rosters and emerging European teams have consistently favoured the Korean side, with T1’s previous MSI performances showing an 85% win rate in upper bracket encounters. In 2024, T1 defeated G2 Esports in a comparable BO5 with a 3–1 scoreline, reinforcing the pattern that top-tier LCK teams outperform LEC contenders in high-stakes MSI play-ins. The 100% YES probability aligns with this precedent, suggesting minimal on-ramp friction for traders seeking exposure to T1 via SEPA or USDC rails.

Traders should monitor official MSI 2026 announcements regarding potential schedule shifts or roster dependencies, as any delay beyond seven days could reset the market to 50–50. Recent coverage from KuCoin confirms the match is set for 29 June, but Klarna withdrawal rails may face temporary congestion if betting volume spikes pre-match. Watch for T1’s official roster confirmation and any late-stage injury reports, as these catalysts directly influence book depth and funding flows driving market traction.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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