Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
57% | 43% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
57% | 43% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 57% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 56% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 48% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 47% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 45% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 43% |
| Game 1 Winner | 39% |
| Game 2 Winner | 39% |
| Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 39% |
| Match Winner | 34% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
Market context
SK Gaming face Team Vitality in a best-of-three LEC regular-season match, and the market’s 39% YES price implies a modest underdog position for SK rather than a clear upset spot. Recent head-to-head data points the other way: Team Vitality have won more of the pair’s meetings across both 2024 and 2026 listings, including a 2–1 series in May 2026, while one current fixture page also shows the match scheduled for 3:00 PM UTC on 10 August.[4][6][13]
For market readers, the main context is liquidity rather than pure form: prediction markets on esports often deepen when deposits are easy and cheap, so on-ramps such as Klarna and SEPA can matter as much as the matchup itself, while USDC funding can attract faster, larger balance movements from regular traders. A cleaner payment path usually supports tighter books around an LEC series like this, especially when the market resolves the same day and there is little time for capital to recycle between related games.[9][10]
Catalysts are mostly operational. The key watchpoints are any schedule change, broadcast start, or late roster confirmation from the teams or league pages, because the market settles on the actual match outcome and goes 50-50 if the game is not played or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The official-looking event listings and live-score pages already anchor the fixture to the August 10 slot, but any mismatch between listed UTC times and local start times can affect short-dated trading and the flow of late deposits into the book.[1][3][7]
Methodology
This page compares LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular … on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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