Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
The League of Legends Champions Pro (LCP) Swiss Stage Round 1 fixture between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Team Secret Whales is scheduled for 25 July at 7:30AM ET. This best-of-three match represents an early-stage competitive test within the LCP's Swiss format, where teams are seeded by prior performance and paired accordingly. The Hawks, backed by the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks esports organisation, compete within Japan's regional ecosystem, whilst Team Secret Whales operates under the established Team Secret banner with international roster depth.
The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome. Swiss-format League tournaments historically show volatile early-round results, particularly when regional teams face internationally-composed squads; comparable LCP matches in 2024 and 2025 saw probability shifts of 20–40 percentage points within 48 hours of match time as roster confirmations and scrim results circulated. Team Secret's track record across multiple regions provides structural information advantage, though the Hawks' domestic infrastructure and patch familiarity introduce legitimate uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official LCP schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through the LCP's English broadcast channels, typically published 72 hours pre-match. Deposit friction via Klarna or SEPA transfers may delay position entry for European traders; settlement occurs within 24 hours of match completion, with withdrawal rails available immediately thereafter. The settlement window closes 25 July at 17:15 UTC, providing a hard deadline for market resolution once the match concludes.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Swiss Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Wh… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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