Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 98% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 78% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 76% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 2% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 2% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 2% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Game Handicap: SHFT (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Shifters and SK Gaming are scheduled to meet in the League of Legends European Championship regular season on 14 August at 16:00 BST. The match carries settlement implications for traders managing liquidity across European payment rails; the 21:00 UTC resolution window aligns with evening settlement cycles for SEPA transfers and Klarna's same-day funding windows, meaning position closure and withdrawal requests cluster in the hour following match conclusion. Current zero probability assigned to Shifters reflects either SK Gaming's recent form advantage or insufficient deposit volume to establish competitive odds on this fixture.
SK Gaming has maintained mid-table consistency in the 2026 LEC season, whilst Shifters' roster changes earlier this summer introduced uncertainty around team cohesion. Historical LEC matchups between organisations of comparable tier show 40–60 win distributions rather than decisive favourites, yet the 0% Shifters probability suggests either sharp traders have positioned heavily on SK or the market lacks sufficient on-ramp friction resolution to attract retail depth. Klarna's three-instalment deposit option and USDC direct settlement have historically driven trading volume in undervalued esports markets where traditional payment gatekeeping suppressed participation.
Traders should monitor LEC's official schedule for any postponement announcements, which would trigger the 7-day delay clause. Team roster confirmations and scrim results, typically shared on team social channels 48 hours pre-match, occasionally shift sharp assessments. The settlement window's alignment with European banking hours means withdrawal requests via SEPA or Klarna will process immediately post-resolution, creating natural liquidity pressure that can amplify late-market movement if new information emerges.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season on Polymarket Klarna UK
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