Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5) | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 48% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 47% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 35% |
| Game 1 Winner | 23% |
| Game 2 Winner | 21% |
| Match Winner | 13% |
Market context
Shark Attack and SU Esports will compete in the Turkish Champions League Play-Ins mid bracket round 2 on 12 August at 10:30 AM ET. The best-of-three format means the first team to win two maps advances. Shark Attack enters as the underdog at 22% implied probability, reflecting their lower regional standing relative to SU Esports' recent form in TCL qualification rounds.
Historical TCL Play-Ins data shows that seeding and prior-season performance correlate strongly with match outcomes, though upsets occur in roughly 18–24% of mid-bracket encounters when the lower-ranked team has secured recent roster stability. Shark Attack's probability reflects typical underdog positioning; comparable matches between similarly-ranked Turkish teams have settled near these odds when one side carries momentum from earlier bracket rounds. SU Esports' favouritism aligns with their qualification trajectory, though Play-Ins formats introduce volatility absent from regular-season play.
Traders monitoring this match should track roster announcements through 11 August, as last-minute substitutions or injury disclosures can shift book depth significantly. Payment friction remains material for UK-based participants: SEPA deposits clear within one business day, whilst Klarna's instant funding option reduces settlement lag if positions require adjustment before the 20:30 UTC resolution window. USDC on-ramps via Polygon offer near-immediate liquidity for traders managing exposure across multiple esports markets. TCL's official schedule and any broadcast delays should be confirmed via lolesports.com 24 hours prior, as fixture postponements beyond 7 days trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins on Polymarket Klarna UK
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