LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

NightBirds and eSuba will contest a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season on 13 August 2026. The fixture is scheduled for 10:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring at 20:00 UTC the same day. The current 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in one outcome or, more likely, minimal liquidity depth—a common pattern in regional esports markets where deposit friction and withdrawal rail availability constrain trader participation. Klarna and SEPA rails have expanded access to UK and EU punters, yet the book remains shallow until settlement window closure.

Hitpoint Masters represents a secondary-tier competitive ecosystem; comparable matches in this tier historically exhibit volatile odds shifts within 48 hours of play, particularly when roster changes, player illness, or technical issues surface. eSuba and NightBirds lack the sponsorship infrastructure of LEC franchises, meaning fixture postponements occur at higher frequency. The 7-day delay clause carries material weight: if either team reports equipment failure or internet outages, rescheduling becomes probable, triggering the 168-hour measurement from the original 10:00 AM ET slot.

Traders should monitor team social media and Hitpoint's official schedule for roster confirmations or cancellation notices through 12 August. Recent esports coverage indicates regional qualifier teams often announce lineup changes 72 hours pre-match. Withdrawal rails—particularly USDC settlement and Klarna instant-pay options—will determine whether late-market liquidity flows in; shallow books on regional fixtures typically see deposit friction suppress position sizing, leaving the 100% probability unchallenged unless new information surfaces.

Methodology

This page compares LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).