Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 1% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 1% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Leviatan Esports are due to face paiN Gaming in a CBLOL regular-season best-of-three, and the market is currently pricing a 0% YES outcome despite the teams having already met multiple times this year. Recent head-to-head records lean to paiN: they won the May 2026 CBLOL Split 1 series 2-0, and broader matchup pages show paiN with the stronger recent run and a higher overall win rate in the pairing[13][16][6]. That kind of history matters in a market like this because depth usually follows the side with clearer form and repeatable line movement, especially when traders can fund quickly through low-friction rails rather than waiting on card settlements.
For context, paiN’s recent results have also been more convincing in comparable BO3s, with matchup databases showing a four-match winning streak and an 86% win rate over the last 30 days at the time they were compiled[6]. Leviatan’s record is less robust, and recent series data show paiN handling the head-to-head comfortably rather than trading maps evenly[8][13]. In prediction markets, that usually keeps the book thin unless fresh money arrives after a schedule update, a line-up announcement, or a venue confirmation; when deposits are easiest via SEPA, Klarna-style instant transfers, or USDC, participation can widen quickly, but when on-ramp friction rises, liquidity often stays concentrated around the favourite.
The main catalysts are simple: whether the match actually starts on schedule, whether the official roster locks hold, and whether any CBLOL broadcast or fixture changes appear before the 7-day settlement fallback window closes. The market description says a non-played match or a delay beyond seven days resolves 50-50, so a postponement is as important as the result itself for traders managing exposure[market description]. That makes the funding side relevant: faster settlement rails and cleaner withdrawal options tend to attract more speculative flow close to start time, while slower payment methods can suppress late-book participation even when the fixture itself remains live and well publicised.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL R… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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