Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 100% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: LDS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
Market context
Forsaken’s Bo3 against Lodis in Rift Legends regular season is the kind of small-liquidity esports market where price can be distorted by payment frictions as much as by team quality. The current crowd-implied 0% YES reading is extreme, but the same fixture has already been priced as a heavy Forsaken lean on other boards, and earlier June-to-August listings also point to Forsaken as the more likely winner. In that setting, book depth tends to track how easily traders can top up balances: faster card or wallet on-ramps usually support tighter spreads, while bank transfer settlement can leave a market thin until late money arrives.
The comparable case to watch is the teams’ recent head-to-head. Forsaken beat Lodis 2-1 in their Spring regular-season meeting, and Strafe records the overall series record as 5-1 in Forsaken’s favour across six meetings, with no draws reported.[10][14][15] BO3 pricing on specialist esports sites has also leaned towards Forsaken, including market odds around 1.364 for a Forsaken win and map lines implying Lodis is more likely to take at least one map than to reverse the series outright.[3][4]
For catalysts, the key question is whether the match is actually confirmed and streamed on schedule, because late schedule changes in lower-tier esports can flip settlement risk as well as trading interest.[2][3][10] Traders should watch tournament channel announcements, match-room confirmation, and any official notice of delay or walkover, since this market resolves 50-50 if the match is not played or is pushed beyond the settlement window without a winner. Payment rails matter here too: balances funded through SEPA or card-on-ramp methods typically arrive faster than USDC or slower bank transfers, so fresh liquidity often shows up only after confirmation rather than at open.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: Lodis vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular … on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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