LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Heretics Academy will face Forsaken in a best-of-three League of Legends match within EMEA Masters Group B on 11 June at 16:00 BST. The fixture is a winners' bracket encounter, meaning the victor advances whilst the loser drops to the losers' bracket. EMEA Masters is the second-tier competitive circuit for European and Middle Eastern teams, sitting below the LEC but above regional leagues. Heretics Academy, the academy roster of the LEC organisation Team Heretics, typically fields experienced prospects and academy-level players rotating through the main roster pipeline. Forsaken's roster composition and recent form will determine whether this resolves as a competitive series or a one-sided affair.

The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong market conviction around Heretics Academy's superiority or minimal liquidity depth on the Forsaken side. Historical EMEA Masters data shows academy rosters from established LEC organisations win such fixtures at elevated rates, though upsets occur when academy teams field weaker lineups or when challenger organisations field cohesive rosters. Recent roster announcements, scrim results leaked through player streams, and coaching staff changes can shift expectations materially in the week preceding the match.

Settlement hinges on match completion by 23:10 UTC on 11 June. Traders depositing via Klarna or SEPA should account for payment processing windows; USDC deposits settle immediately on-chain, reducing settlement risk. If the match is postponed beyond seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50, returning capital proportionally. Withdrawal rails remain available throughout the settlement window, though book depth may compress as the event approaches.

Methodology

We track LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.