Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) | 82% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 23% |
| Game 2 Winner | 20% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Match Winner | 5% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
GIANTX iTero are due to meet Team Heretics Academy in a best-of-three LES regular season fixture, with the market currently pricing a GIANTX iTero win at 16%. The low crowd-implied figure is easier to read when you think about how these academy-level League of Legends books tend to behave: liquidity is often thin, so a small number of deposits can move the price quickly, especially when funding arrives through friction-light rails such as SEPA or stablecoin top-ups rather than slower card flows. Where the on-ramp is easy and withdrawals are familiar, books can deepen fast; where cash-out is awkward or fees bite, participation usually stays patchier.
Comparable results matter here because the most recent recorded meeting between these sides ended Team Heretics Academy 2-0 over GIANTX iTero in LES 2026 Spring.[1] That sort of clean scoreline is relevant in a BO3 market because it suggests one team can separate decisively rather than merely edge close maps. For traders, a 16% line implies the market is treating GIANTX iTero as a clear underdog, but still with live upset equity if squad quality, preparation, or patch familiarity narrows the gap on the day.
The main catalysts are basic but important: confirmed line-ups, start-time certainty, and whether the match actually launches on schedule, because a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would settle the market 50-50. Payment rails also matter to depth in practice: when Klarna-style card funding, SEPA transfers, or USDC deposits are available, more small tickets can enter quickly, which usually improves book thickness before first map; if withdrawals are slow or funding is constrained, pricing can stay jumpy right up to draft and veto. A late roster or schedule update would be the most immediate trigger for repricing.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page compares LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - L… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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