Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
73% | 27% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
73% | 27% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 73% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 73% |
| Match Winner | 66% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 66% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 63% |
| Game 1 Winner | 60% |
| Game 2 Winner | 60% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 53% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 53% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 38% |
| Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 37% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 36% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 19% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 19% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 16% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 16% |
Market context
GIANTX are facing SK Gaming in a best-of-three LEC regular-season match, and the market’s 60% crowd-implied chance for GIANTX leaves only a modest edge above even-money. That is broadly consistent with the recent head-to-head, which has swung back and forth: GIANTX beat SK 2-0 on 5 April 2026, but SK have historically held the better overall record in the fixture.[18][4][2]
The main comparison point is recent form rather than legacy reputation. Across the most recent listed meetings, both teams have shown the kind of volatility that keeps BO3 pricing sensitive to map-one momentum and draft quality: GIANTX have won two of their last five in one sample, while SK have won one of five, yet both sides have also posted similar short-run win rates in another recent database.[4][13] In market terms, that sort of profile tends to keep book depth tied to fresh deposits, because smaller balances can move faster than the underlying probability when on-ramp friction is low and withdrawals are simple.
For traders, the key catalysts are operational rather than narrative. Any late change to the LEC schedule, stream start time, or match-day roster can matter immediately, especially if the contest is moved, delayed, or interrupted before completion; the market only settles to 50-50 in those non-standard cases.[18] Flow can also be influenced by payment rails: instant deposits through card-linked services such as Klarna, lower-friction bank transfers via SEPA, and crypto funding in USDC all widen the pool of small and mid-sized entrants, which often strengthens liquidity around live esports fixtures.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season on Polymarket Klarna UK
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