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LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Fastest route to "LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 74% Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) 69% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 61% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $438K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?74%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)69%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?61%
O/U 3.5 Games59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?43%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)41%
Game 4 Winner36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?31%
Game 2 Winner30%
Game 3 Winner30%
Game 1 Winner28%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games25%
Match Winner14%

Market context

G2 Esports faces T1 in the Lower Bracket quarterfinal 2 of the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, a best-of-five match scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 8 July 2026. The market currently prices a G2 win at 28%, implying T1 is the clear favourite despite G2’s recent 1–0 victory over T1 in November 2025. Historical precedence from MSI 2017 shows T1 dominating G2 with a 3–1 win in the final, reinforcing T1’s pedigree in high-stakes MSI encounters. Strafe users similarly back T1 with 69.4% of votes, aligning with the 28% implied probability for G2 and suggesting the crowd’s confidence is well-founded rather than speculative.

Traders should monitor official LoL Esports schedule updates and any pre-match announcements regarding player availability or roster changes, as dependencies on individual performance can shift odds rapidly. Recent coverage from Strafe highlights T1’s consistent dominance in head-to-head records, having won seven of ten matches against G2, which underpins the current pricing. With the settlement window ending 14:00 UTC on 8 July, liquidity remains tied to funding flows through Klarna, SEPA, and USDC rails; deeper on-ramp activity correlates with tighter spreads and more accurate price discovery. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner would trigger a 50–50 resolution, making timing a critical risk factor for position holders.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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