Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
FURIA Esports and Dplus KIA face off in the League of Legends Lower Bracket semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group A, a match initially set for 12:10 PM ET on 15 July. The contest is a decisive BO3 clash where the winner advances, while the current crowd-implied probability of FURIA winning sits at 0%, suggesting the market heavily favours the Korean side.
Historically, Dplus KIA (formerly DAMWON Gaming) has demonstrated overwhelming dominance in international League of Legends tournaments, having participated in 235 events across various disciplines with a track record that often skews market expectations toward their victory [1]. Comparable cases in Group A lower-bracket scenarios show that when a tier-one Korean organisation faces a South American entrant like FURIA, liquidity concentrates rapidly on the Korean side, driving implied probabilities for the opponent to near-zero as depositors align their funding with the perceived skill gap.
Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any delay announcements beyond the seven-day resolution window, which would trigger a 50-50 settlement, and watch for real-time roster confirmations before the match begins. Recent coverage highlights that Dplus KIA’s organisational stability often correlates with consistent on-field performance, making pre-match funding flows via Klarna or SEPA critical indicators of book depth [1]. The settlement window closing on 15 July at 23:20 UTC means that any withdrawal rail friction, particularly with USDC or Klarna, could temporarily suppress liquidity before the final resolution.
Sources: 1
Methodology
This page compares LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports Worl… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →