Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
71% | 29% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
71% | 29% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 71% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 71% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 57% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 45% |
| Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 42% |
| Game 1 Winner | 36% |
| Game 2 Winner | 34% |
| Match Winner | 30% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 25% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 17% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 17% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 13% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 13% |
Market context
DN SOOPers meet HANJIN BRION in an LCK best-of-three, with the market implying a modest upset chance for DN SOOPers at 36%. Recent head-to-head form points the other way: HANJIN BRION beat DN SOOPers 2-0 in the spring split, and they also won the later KeSPA Cup meeting, while DN SOOPers’ recent results have been flatter overall.[8][15][9]
That backdrop matters because LCK moneyline markets for lower-table teams often move on small information edges rather than deep fundamentals, and this one has the ingredients for thin-book pricing. DN SOOPers sit below HANJIN BRION in the current group standings, while other pre-match model pages still give BRION the cleaner early-game profile and better recent kill metrics.[2][5] In practice, depth on prediction markets like this tends to improve when users can move funds in quickly, so payment friction can matter: instant card-style on-ramps such as Klarna, low-cost SEPA transfers, and USDC deposits can pull in more liquidity than slower settlement rails, which can leave the price more sensitive to a few larger trades.
The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, whether the series starts on schedule, and any late schedule changes around the LCK broadcast slate. The match is listed for 02:00 UTC / 4:00 AM ET, and the settlement rules mean a no-show, cancellation, or a delay beyond seven days would push the market to 50-50 rather than a winner-take-all outcome.[2][12] Traders will also watch for any official competition notices or venue delays, because even a brief postponement can alter both the resolution path and the amount of capital willing to sit in the book until the result is final.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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