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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Trade "LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 68% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $91K Liquidity: $722K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)40%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner36%
Match Winner36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

CTBC Flying Oyster meet GAM Esports in a best-of-three LCP group-stage match, and the market’s 37% “YES” price points to a narrow lean towards CFO rather than a strong favourite. Recent head-to-head results have been split: GAM beat CFO 2-0 in January 2026, while CFO won the teams’ August 2025 meeting 2-0, and broader match-history pages show CFO with the better long-run record in the pairing.[1][2][6][10]

That kind of mixed series history usually leaves more room for price movement once traders see lineup confirmation and the actual on-ramp flow behind the market. In prediction markets, shallow book depth can matter as much as team strength: when deposits arrive smoothly through low-friction rails such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC, bids can tighten quickly; when funding is delayed or withdrawals are awkward, liquidity often stays thinner and the implied probability can drift on relatively modest volume. The current price therefore looks more like a live expression of funding-backed conviction than a clean read on team edge.

The main catalysts are simple but time-sensitive: whether the match starts on schedule, whether there is any late schedule change, and whether either side enters with a clear roster or preparation edge. Public match pages list the fixture for 31 July 2026 at 06:00 UTC, while the market description uses 07:30AM ET, so traders should watch the official LCP schedule and any last-minute broadcast or venue updates closely.[4][7] The immediate comparison point is form coming into the series: both teams posted 2-0 wins in LCP Split 3 a few days earlier, which supports the idea that the market is pricing a live, competitive BO3 rather than a one-sided matchup.[14][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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Trade LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP G… on Polymarket Klarna UK

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