Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 91% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 53% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 53% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 53% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5) | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Cloud9’s LCS regular-season series against Disguised is priced as a near-certain Cloud9 win, but the market is really showing how deep the funding pool is when there is little on-ramp friction. A 100% YES price usually reflects that traders can move quickly through deposits and withdrawals without needing to demand much premium, so liquidity tends to cluster around the favoured side rather than explore alternative outcomes.
Recent comparable meetings point the same way: Cloud9 swept Disguised 2-0 in April, and bracketed odds for this August series also put Cloud9 around 81% with a 2-0 the shortest-priced scoreline.[2][16] Bo3 analysis from the current fixture notes Cloud9’s higher recent win rate and a 0-4 historical head-to-head edge, while Disguised’s recent form has been materially weaker.[1] That combination is the kind of profile that usually attracts smaller, faster deposits rather than large, conviction-driven opposing flows, which can leave the book shallow when the favourite is already dominant.
For traders watching payment routes, the key catalysts are whether the match is actually completed on schedule and whether any late broadcast or schedule changes are announced before the settlement window closes.[8] In practice, clear start times support instant funding activity, while withdrawal preferences such as **SEPA**, **Klarna**, or **USDC** matter most if users want to recycle capital quickly into related esports books or exit after a short-lived price dislocation. If the series begins and then stalls, the market terms allow a 50-50 resolution if no winner is determined within seven days, so any interruption announcement would matter more than pre-match odds drift.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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