Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Cloud9 and Dignitas are scheduled to meet in an LCS regular-season best-of-three, and the market is effectively pricing a Cloud9 win at the upper bound, with crowd-implied “YES” at 0% because the contract is currently positioned around the most likely side rather than an underdog outcome. Cloud9 have dominated the matchup historically, with multiple head-to-head databases showing a lopsided series record in their favour, including recent best-of-three wins this year and a long run of favourable results overall.[3][5][12][15][17][18]
For reading the current price, the main comparison case is not a coin-flip LCS pairing but a matchup where the favourite has repeatedly converted against the same opponent, so the book depth is likely to stay concentrated on the Cloud9 side unless late team news changes the shape of the series.[2][3][15] That matters on a payment-driven venue because thicker deposits and faster on-ramp flows — especially card, Klarna-style instalment rails, SEPA transfers, or USDC top-ups — tend to support tighter, more one-sided order books when the market is already consensus-heavy.
The practical catalysts are confirmation that the fixture actually starts on schedule, any official broadcast or schedule changes, and roster or substitution announcements close to lock. The market rules also matter: if the match is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50, so traders should watch for postponement notices as much as competitive news. The listed match page shows the August 1 fixture, while recent match-stat pages and result archives confirm this pairing has already been played in the current season, which can create confusion if schedule pages are updated or duplicated across providers.[1][5][7][18]
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on Polymarket Klarna UK
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