Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| First Blood in Game 1? | 69% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 56% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 56% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 45% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 43% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 43% |
| Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | 41% |
| Game 2 Winner | 38% |
| Game 1 Winner | 37% |
| Match Winner | 31% |
Market context
HANJIN BRION face Nongshim Red Force in an LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group best-of-three, with the market implying a 37% chance of a BRION win. Nongshim are the higher-rated side on recent ranking snapshots, while one match tracker lists them around world rank 97 versus BRION at 132, which helps explain why the market is not pricing BRION as a favourite[2]. Recent head-to-head data also leans Nongshim’s way overall, although BRION beat them 2-0 in one earlier 2026 LCK series, so the matchup has not been one-sided in every meeting[4][11][12].
For traders, the main question is whether fresh deposits and quick settlement rails can keep the book active close to kick-off: small esports markets often tighten when users can move funds in through low-friction options such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC, then withdraw quickly after the result is known. The practical catalysts are the official starting line-up, any schedule changes, and whether the series begins on time at LoL Park / the LCK broadcast slot shown by multiple fixtures pages[2][5][18]. Because this market resolves only on a completed match outcome, any late postponement or disruption matters more than pre-game chatter; if the fixture is delayed beyond the settlement window, it can fall back to a 50-50 resolution under the market rules.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK … on Polymarket Klarna UK
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