Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 52% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% |
| Match Winner | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% |
| Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 42% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
HANJIN BRION face DN SOOPers in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK's Rise Group stage on 19 August 2026, with settlement closing at 16:00 UTC. The fixture sits at 49% implied probability, reflecting genuine uncertainty between two mid-tier Korean regional competitors. Match cancellation or a tied result would trigger a 50-50 resolution; any postponement must occur by 2 September 2026 to remain valid.
Historical LCK Rise Group fixtures show volatile pricing around team roster changes and scrim performance leaks in the weeks preceding play. HANJIN BRION's recent form and DN SOOPers' mid-season adjustments will likely drive late-market movement. Traders should monitor LCK official announcements for lineup confirmations, injury reports, or scheduling changes—Korean regional broadcasts typically confirm final rosters 48 hours before match time. Recent LCK coverage from Korizon and Esports Observer has highlighted how roster depth affects early-game execution in Rise Group play, a variable that historically shifts odds by 3–7 percentage points once confirmed.
Liquidity in this market correlates directly with deposit availability on the platform. SEPA transfers and Klarna's staggered payment rails typically settle within 24–48 hours, meaning traders funding positions before 17 August will access full book depth. USDC on-ramp routes offer same-day settlement but carry higher withdrawal friction for GBP conversion. The 49% midpoint suggests balanced backing; significant inflows via faster payment methods (Klarna instant) often precede sharp probability shifts in regional esports markets with smaller total volumes.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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