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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Match Winner 89% Game 1 Winner 81% Game 2 Winner 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $635K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner89%
Game 1 Winner81%
Game 2 Winner81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)67%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
First Blood in Game 1?37%
O/U 2.5 Games28%

Market context

Bilibili Gaming face ThunderTalk Gaming in a best-of-three LPL Group Ascend match, and the market’s 81% yes price implies a clear favourite rather than a coin flip. Recent comparable previews for a ThunderTalk-Bilibili series in LPL Split 1 2025 also tipped Bilibili Gaming to win 3-1, which is consistent with the market leaning towards the stronger, more liquid side of the pairing rather than an upset-prone one.[1][2]

For traders, the key issue is not just the match itself but whether funds are already in place to support active positioning before the scheduled start. Markets like this tend to tighten when deposits clear quickly through low-friction rails such as SEPA or card-based options, while slower on-ramp methods can leave depth thinner and prices more jumpy near lock. Withdrawal convenience matters too: USDC exits generally reduce settlement friction for repeat traders, whereas bank and card rails can add delay and fees that discourage rapid recycling of capital. The result is that liquidity often tracks how easily users can move money in and out rather than the esports fixture alone.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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