Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 80% |
| Game 1 Winner | 73% |
| Game 2 Winner | 72% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 58% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 56% |
| Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 55% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 53% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 52% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 51% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 49% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 44% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 44% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 43% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 43% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 43% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 43% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 43% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 43% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 41% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 39% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 24% |
Market context
Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs, a best-of-three match scheduled for 7:00AM ET on 17 July. The crowd currently backs Anyone’s Legend with a 73% implied probability, reflecting strong confidence in their recent qualifier performance where they were predicted to beat Top Esports 2:1[3]. This weighting aligns with historical patterns in EWC knockout stages, where teams advancing from China qualifiers often carry form advantages over European entrants; Karmine Corp’s prior 2–0 victory over Sentinels secured their knockout berth but did not guarantee dominance against higher-tier Asian squads[4].
Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding roster availability and any schedule shifts, as delays beyond seven days without a winner trigger a 50–50 resolution. The match will stream live and free on DAZN, with accessibility across smart TVs, mobile devices, and web browsers[2]. Funding flows into this market are directly tied to on-ramp friction: Klarna and SEPA deposits drive book depth, while USDC withdrawal rails determine liquidity retention. Recent traction correlates with reduced fee structures on these rails, enabling faster capital deployment into high-conviction esports positions.
Market depth remains sensitive to deposit velocity and withdrawal latency. If Klarna integration expands or SEPA fees drop further, liquidity could surge, reinforcing the 73% bias. Conversely, any disruption in USDC rails may cap upside, even if the underlying event favours Anyone’s Legend. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 17 July, capping the timeframe for position adjustments based on real-time funding conditions.
Methodology
This page compares LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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