Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Yellow Submarine’s Bo3 against Vici Gaming is a live Dota 2 group-stage match in the Games of the Future, and the market has already moved through the event itself, with results sources showing Vici winning 2-0. That makes the current 0% YES reading easy to interpret: once a series is finished, the only real question for settlement is whether the market has ingested the official result and whether any void condition applies. Platforms tracking the fixture also show the match as completed rather than merely scheduled, which is the sort of status change that tends to collapse remaining depth quickly when deposits are flowing in through fast on-ramp rails such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC rather than slower bank cards. [1][2][5]
For comparable cases, Dota match markets often stay liquid only until the first game ends, then compress sharply if the favourite wins cleanly or if a result page flips to final. Vici’s recent form gave traders a plausible pre-match edge: it had beaten Nigma 2-0 and Amaru 2-1 in the same event cycle, while Yellow Submarine had also arrived off a 2-0 win over XctN, so the series looked competitive before play began. In markets like this, the size of the book is usually driven less by model disagreement than by how cheaply participants can fund accounts and exit via withdrawal rails, with USDC and SEPA typically supporting more repeat turnover than slower payment methods. [2][5][14][17]
The main catalysts to watch are official score confirmation, any bracket or schedule correction from the organiser, and whether the match metadata is altered after the fact. If a series had been delayed, interrupted, or unplayed, those administrative changes would matter more than the teams’ prior form, because void rules can force a 50-50 outcome if no winner is determined within the settlement window. Recent listings from live score and tournament-tracking sites already align on a finished 0-2 Vici result, so any remaining movement is likely to be about settlement housekeeping rather than new sporting information. [1][3][5][7]
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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