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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Which platform accepts which deposit method for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D"? Klarna, SOFORT, card, USDC compared.

Game 1 Winner 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $318K Liquidity: $742K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?100%
Match Winner51%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Team Yandex faces OG in a best-of-two Dota 2 Group D clash at the Esports World Cup, scheduled for 12:30 PM ET on 7 July. The market currently implies a 100% probability that the match will proceed without cancellation, tie, or forfeiture, reflecting strong confidence in the event’s completion despite the tight settlement window.

Historically, prediction markets on live esports fixtures with 100% implied completion probability rarely resolve to the 50-50 contingency unless external disruptions occur, such as server failures or team disqualifications. Comparable cases from the 2025 Esports World Cup show that matches between established European squads like OG and rising contenders like Team Yandex almost always conclude within the scheduled timeframe, with forfeiture rates below 2% across major tournaments [1][8].

Traders should monitor real-time updates on match start confirmation and any delay notices from the tournament organiser, as even minor scheduling shifts can trigger settlement risks. Team Yandex’s dominant 2026 form, including a BLAST Slam VII title in June, supports their market favourite status, though OG’s world ranking of 17 suggests competitive depth [1][9]. With funding flows from Klarna and SEPA on-ramps driving book depth, liquidity remains sensitive to pre-match announcements and live stream stability, particularly as the match begins in the UK evening.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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