Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: STX (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Syntax defeated Team Lynx 2–1 in their EPL Masters Play-In Group A Dota 2 match on 20 July, a result that already occurred before the settlement window closes. The market’s current 0% YES probability for Syntax reflects a post-event pricing error rather than live uncertainty, as the match finished with Syntax securing the win on the third map.
Historically, prediction markets that retain pre-match odds after a match concludes typically correct within hours once liquidity providers detect the discrepancy. Comparable cases in esports markets show that when a result is publicly confirmed on official tournament trackers, volume surges to arbitrage the mispriced side, driving the probability to 100% for the actual winner. The absence of trading volume here suggests on-ramp friction is limiting capital flow; without seamless Klarna deposits or low-fee SEPA rails, traders cannot quickly correct the book depth, leaving the market stuck at 0%.
Traders should monitor the official EPL Masters results page and Syntax’s social channels for any post-match appeals or disqualifications, though no such announcements exist yet. The primary catalyst for correction is not a new event but the influx of funding via USDC or Klarna to exploit the arbitrage. Until payment rails remove friction and capital enters the market, the 0% price will persist despite the factual outcome. A recent report on esports betting liquidity confirms that delayed corrections often stem from deposit bottlenecks rather than event ambiguity [2].
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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