Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 90% |
| Ends in Daytime | 90% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
REKONIX’s playoff match with Yakult Brothers is already sitting at the extreme end of the market, which usually means traders are pricing in a near-certain favourite rather than a balanced series. That matters for a payment-sensitive platform because 100% implied probability tends to attract smaller, lower-conviction tickets and fewer in-play reversals, especially if the market is being funded through fast on-ramps such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC. In Dota 2, however, a Bo3 can still move sharply on draft quality, pause timing, or a single map swing, so the current price is best read as a consensus signal rather than a guarantee. Public match pages and odds boards also point to REKONIX as the market leader, with one listing them around 67% and another showing bookmakers at 1.23 versus 3.83, which is consistent with a clear but not invulnerable favourite.[2][6]
There is some live-scheduling friction around this fixture, which is relevant for settlement risk and for how quickly new deposits can be matched into the book. Multiple listings place the game on 2 August, but times vary between 11:00 UTC, 14:00 UTC, and 17:53 local broadcast time, while the market window itself ends at 20:55 UTC, so traders will be watching the official bracket and stream start closely.[2][6][7] Recent coverage also shows the series on live broadcast pages and YouTube streams, indicating the match is being actively staged rather than hypothetically listed.[1][3] For market depth, the key catalyst is whether the series starts on schedule and with verified line-ups; if it does, the book should remain shallowly one-sided unless fresh flow comes in through payment rails with low friction and fast settlement, especially on USDC.[4]
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of … on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →