Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Refuser and Game Master will compete in the lower bracket quarterfinal of the International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs on 17 June, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from contention for a spot at The International. This best-of-three match represents a critical juncture for both rosters, as the qualifier determines which Chinese teams secure invitations to the annual world championship.

The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally strong conviction in Team Refuser's superiority or, more likely, sparse liquidity in the order book. Historical patterns across regional Dota 2 qualifiers show that lower bracket matches between established squads rarely settle at extreme odds; even heavily favoured teams face 15–25% upset risk when elimination stakes are high. Comparable fixtures from prior International qualifiers demonstrate that depth dries up when settlement windows close within 48 hours and deposit friction remains unresolved. Traders using SEPA transfers or Klarna payment rails often face 24–36 hour settlement delays, which can lock capital away during volatile pre-match periods when line movement typically occurs.

Scheduled announcements affecting this match include roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in declarations, typically posted 12–18 hours before fixture start. Monitor official ESL or Perfect World channels for delays or format changes. The settlement window closes at 10:00 UTC on 17 June, leaving minimal margin for post-match verification. Withdrawal processing via USDC or domestic banking rails should be factored into position sizing, as liquidity concentration in this market may compress significantly once the match concludes.

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Klarna UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Klarna UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.