Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Liquidity
- $4.1M
- Open interest
- $669K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
PARIVISION and BetBoom Team face off in a best-of-three Dota 2 fixture within DreamLeague's group stage on 14 May at 06:00 ET. The 52% crowd probability suggests marginal confidence in PARIVISION's victory, reflecting uncertainty about relative team form and recent roster adjustments across the competitive circuit. DreamLeague remains one of the circuit's established tournaments, drawing consistent viewership and sponsorship backing that typically ensures match completion barring extraordinary circumstances.
Historical precedent from prior DreamLeague seasons shows group-stage matches between mid-tier CIS and Eastern European rosters often settle within tight margins, particularly when neither team enters as a clear favourite. BetBoom Team's recent placements in regional qualifiers and PARIVISION's performance trajectory through spring tournaments provide the substantive data underpinning the near-even split. Cancellation risk remains low given DreamLeague's operational track record, though the seven-day resolution window creates modest tail risk if unforeseen scheduling conflicts emerge.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track roster confirmations and scrim results circulating through community channels in the 48 hours preceding match day. Deposit and withdrawal infrastructure—particularly SEPA rails and USDC on-ramps for European traders—will determine book depth as settlement approaches. Any late-stage roster changes or visa complications affecting either squad could shift probability materially, though such announcements typically surface well before match time. The settlement window's tight closure at 16:00 UTC on 14 May means liquidity concentration will likely spike in the final hours as traders lock positions ahead of play.
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. PolyGram additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like PolyGram add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- PolyGram charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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