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Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Fastest route to "Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Volume: $717K Liquidity: $2.2M Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?60%
Match Winner56%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)0%

Market context

The International 2026 Group Stage will pit OG, the two-time championship organisation, against HULIGANI in a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 14 August at 22:00 ET. OG's roster carries institutional weight in competitive Dota—the organisation has won The International twice (2018, 2019) and maintains consistent qualification to Valve's premier annual event. HULIGANI, by contrast, represents the emerging tier-one challengers from the Eastern European circuit, having qualified through regional qualifiers. The match determines seeding advancement in a group format where early wins compound into bracket positioning advantage.

Historical precedent suggests OG's pedigree commands market confidence. In comparable group-stage matchups between established champions and regional qualifiers at recent Internationals, the favourite has settled at 75–85% implied probability rather than the current 100% ceiling. The 100% reading reflects either extreme certainty among depositors or shallow order-book depth at the extremes—a common pattern when payment friction (deposit delays via Klarna, SEPA settlement windows, or USDC bridge costs) concentrates liquidity among early movers rather than distributing it across probability bands.

Traders should monitor official schedule confirmations from the Dota 2 Pro Circuit and any last-minute roster changes or technical delays affecting Group Stage pacing. Withdrawal rails matter here: traders holding positions through the 15 August settlement window should verify their preferred exit method (SEPA transfers typically clear within 2–3 business days; Klarna refunds process faster but incur platform fees). Any postponement triggers the 14-day rescheduling window, extending settlement risk and potentially shifting liquidity as traders reassess hold duration against their payment-method constraints.

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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