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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Trade "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

First Blood in Game 2? 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $2.4M Closes: 28 Jun 2026
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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game 2 Winner0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

The underlying event is the Lower bracket semifinal 1 in The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where Nigma Galaxy defeated Yellow Submarine 2–1 in a Best of 3 series on 28 June 2026[1][9]. This result confirms the market’s 100% YES settlement for Nigma Galaxy, resolving the prediction that NGX would win the match against YeS[1].

Historically, qualifier matches with one-sided recent form—such as Nigma Galaxy’s five-match win streak versus Yellow Submarine’s zero wins in five games—tend to produce decisive outcomes that validate pre-match probabilities[2]. Comparable cases from TI14 and TI15 regional qualifiers show that when a top-ranked team (World Ranking 15) faces a squad with no recent victories, the book depth aligns tightly with the outcome, minimising on-ramp friction for traders depositing via SEPA or Klarna[2][4].

Traders should monitor official announcements regarding future TI2026 qualifier schedules and any dependencies on team roster changes, as these drive funding flows into prediction books[4]. A recent Strafe Esports report confirms the 2–1 result and notes the match timing at 2:50 PM ET, which supports the liquidity depth observed in markets tied to USDC withdrawal rails[9]. No further catalysts are expected given the match’s completion, ensuring settlement clarity before the 2026-06-28 deadline.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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