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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Trade "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Game 2 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $987K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Match Winner50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

MOUZ and Team Nemesis face off in a BO2 Dota 2 match for Esports World Cup Group C, scheduled for 14:00 UTC on 9 July 2026. MOUZ, ranked 15th globally, defeated Nemesis 2–0 in their last encounter on 15 December 2025, and bookmakers currently list them as favourites with odds of 1.78[4][5]. The market’s current 0% YES price for MOUZ winning is starkly inconsistent with this historical dominance and the team’s superior ranking, suggesting either a liquidity glitch or a mispricing that traders should scrutinise before acting[2].

Comparable cases in Dota 2 prediction markets show that when a top-ranked team faces a lower-ranked opponent with a clear recent win record, the crowd-implied probability rarely drops to zero unless the match is abandoned or the team is disqualified[1]. Traders should watch for official announcements regarding team readiness, schedule changes, or any withdrawal from the tournament, as these dependencies directly impact settlement[3]. Recent coverage from Strafe confirms the match is live and MOUZ remains the expected winner, reinforcing that the 0% price is likely an on-ramp friction issue rather than a genuine market signal[1].

The book depth here is driven by funding flows through Klarna, SEPA, and USDC rails; any deposit or withdrawal friction can suppress liquidity and distort prices. As traders deposit via these rails, the resulting capital inflow stabilises the market, correcting anomalies like the current 0% price. Monitor for Klarna or SEPA transaction delays that may temporarily thin the book, as these payment-layer dependencies often precede price corrections in prediction markets.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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