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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Fastest route to "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage": payment methods and processing times across the four comparable platforms.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $1.7M Liquidity: $566K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Any Player Ultra Kill90%
Any Player Rampage90%
First Blood in Game 1?90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Team Liquid and Team Spirit will meet in Round 3 of The International 2026 group stage on 14 August at 04:00 ET. The match is a best-of-three format within a larger Swiss-system bracket designed to seed teams for the main event. Both squads qualified directly to the group stage, meaning this fixture carries weight in determining playoff positioning and potential bracket seeding advantages.

The 0% implied probability reflects either a technical settlement issue or genuine uncertainty about match occurrence rather than a consensus that one team cannot win. Historically, Dota 2 group-stage matches at The International rarely fail to execute; cancellations or postponements are uncommon absent major infrastructure failure or player health emergencies. Team Spirit won The International 2021 and remains a top-tier squad, whilst Team Liquid has finished in the prize money at multiple Internationals. Direct head-to-head records between these organisations show competitive matchups without a clear dominant pattern, making outright dismissal of either team's chances implausible from a pure form perspective.

Traders should monitor the official schedule confirmation and any roster announcements through to the settlement window closure on 14 August at 13:30 UTC. The Dota Pro Circuit's official website and team social channels will flag any delays or format changes. Deposit friction via Klarna or SEPA transfers may affect book depth if traders face payment delays; withdrawal rails to USDC or bank accounts should remain open throughout the tournament window. Match-day volatility typically spikes within two hours of scheduled start time as live odds adjust to team lineups and in-game momentum.

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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