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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Trade "Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $2.1M Liquidity: $806K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Iron Wing (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: Iron Wing (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Iron Wing face Team Yandex in a best-of-three Dota 2 fixture during The International's group stage on 15 August 2026. The match sits at 8:00 AM ET, placing it early in the competitive window for European traders who may fund positions via SEPA transfers or Klarna's deferred payment rails before market open. Settlement occurs the same day at 17:50 UTC, compressing the liquidity window for late deposits and creating friction for traders relying on slower on-ramp methods.

The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally one-sided pre-tournament analysis or sparse early-stage book depth—a common pattern in esports group-stage markets where initial seeding estimates dominate before meaningful trading volume accumulates. Historical International group stages show that favourites priced at extremes often shift 5–15 percentage points once deposit flows stabilise and regional betting syndicates establish positions. Iron Wing's recent LAN placements and roster stability will determine whether this ceiling holds; Team Yandex's qualifying path and scrim performance remain less publicly documented, creating information asymmetry that typically resolves within 48 hours of announcement cycles.

Traders should monitor The International's official schedule confirmation (typically released 72 hours prior) and any roster or stand-in announcements from either organisation. Postponement risk exists until 29 August at 23:59 ET, extending the settlement window by 14 days and potentially allowing additional deposit cohorts to enter via Klarna or USDC on-ramps. Watch for patch updates to Dota 2 released between now and match day, as meta shifts can disproportionately favour preparation depth—a metric where larger organisations typically hold structural advantage.

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
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