Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 76% |
| Match Winner | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 1% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Team Falcons and BetBoom Team are set to face off in a Best-of-2 Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup Group A in Riyadh, scheduled to begin at 5:00 AM ET on 7 July 2026. The crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for Team Falcons reflects a stark market consensus that BetBoom holds overwhelming advantage, likely shaped by their recent head-to-head dominance.
Historical precedents strongly support this low probability. In their most recent encounter at BLAST SLAM VII on 5 June 2026, BetBoom defeated Team Falcons 2-0 in the UB Semi Final 2, a result echoed in their IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 performance where Falcons again lost 0-2 [2][9]. This consistent pattern of BetBoom sweeping Falcons in high-stakes matches frames the current 0% probability not as an anomaly but as a rational extension of established form, suggesting minimal volatility unless Falcons demonstrate a dramatic tactical shift.
Traders should monitor live match developments and any post-match announcements regarding roster changes or tournament scheduling dependencies, as these can alter book depth and funding flows. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the match is live with a 1-1 score in map 1, indicating the contest remains unresolved and depth may shift rapidly as payment rails like SEPA and USDC facilitate on-ramp activity [1]. The traction of this market hinges directly on these funding channels, where Klarna and SEPA withdrawals drive liquidity into the book, making real-time score updates the primary catalyst for probability recalibration.
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group A with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - Esports… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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