Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Rampage | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 91% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5) | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DAN (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Dandelions are scheduled to play Zero Tenacity in a best-of-three Dota 2 series in EPL Masters Play-In Group B, with settlement dependent on an actual winner being recorded before the window closes. The current 0% YES price implies the market is effectively treating a Dandelions win as either mispriced, unsupported by fresh information, or blocked by thin liquidity rather than as a clean statement on match quality.
In markets like this, the biggest distortions often come from funding friction rather than team strength: if deposits are slow, card rails fail, or users are waiting on SEPA or wallet withdrawals, the book can stay shallow and an obvious favourite may still show little or no support. That matters here because esports contest prices can move sharply once accounts are topped up and traders can react in size; a quiet 0% print can therefore reflect payment bottlenecks, not just conviction about the bracket.
The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmation the series starts on time, any schedule change from the organiser, and whether the match page is updated with draft or lobby information before the 13:00 UTC settlement deadline. If the fixture slips, is abandoned, or cannot produce a winner within seven days of the scheduled date, the market would not resolve to either side, so traders will be watching for official admin updates as much as the in-game result.
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Mast… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →