Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 91% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 90% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DAN (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Game Handicap: Team AION (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team AION are scheduled to play Dandelions in a best-of-three Dota 2 match in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, and the market is currently pricing a **0%** chance of Team AION winning. BO3 listings for the fixture show the standard possible series outcomes, but the crowd price implies the book is treating Team AION as effectively unsupported relative to Dandelions, which is the sort of shape that often appears when a match is on a thinly traded market with little deposit flow behind it.[1]
For comparison, markets on smaller esports fixtures can stay pinned near zero when few users fund accounts through low-friction rails such as **SEPA**, **Klarna**, or **USDC**, because depth is usually built by quick top-ups rather than slow bank transfers. When the payment path is easy, prices tend to move earlier on schedule confirmations and roster news; when it is not, the book can remain shallow and ignore modest counter-interest until late money arrives, so a 0% print is best read as a liquidity signal as much as a forecast.[1]
The main catalysts are simple: whether the series starts on time, whether the organiser keeps the Group B slot intact, and whether either team changes line-up or forfeits before the first draft. The market settles on the match result if played to a winner, but any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days resolves to 50-50, so traders will be watching official scheduling updates more than in-play hero selections.[1]
Methodology
This page compares Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Dota 2: Team AION vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters … on Polymarket Klarna UK
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