Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-6.5) vs regain (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-6.5) vs regain (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-3.5) vs Voca (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: regain (-6.5) vs Voca (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: REGAIN (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-9.5) vs regain (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-12.5) vs regain (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Voca and regain are set to face off in the BLAST Open North American Qualifier Semifinal 2, a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match originally scheduled for 9:30PM ET on 10 July. The contest determines progression in the regional playoffs, with Voca currently favoured to win and secure the market’s “YES” outcome.
Historical head-to-head data shows Voca holding a dominant edge over regain, having won four of their last five meetings, including a 2–0 victory at CCT Season 3 North America Series 4 just two months prior [6][8]. regain have secured roughly 57 wins across 115 matches, but their recent form against Voca remains poor, with odds consistently pricing them as underdogs [3]. This pattern of one-sided results supports the crowd-implied 100% probability for Voca, mirroring past cases where entrenched form gaps translated into near-certain market outcomes.
Traders should monitor the official match start time and any delay notices from BLAST or HLTV, as unresolved postponements beyond seven days trigger a 50–50 settlement [1][4]. A forfeit mid-match would still resolve the market to the winning team, but cancellation or tie outcomes reset it to neutral. Recent scheduling updates confirm the match remains on track for 10 July, with no public indications of roster changes or technical disruptions [5]. Funding flows via Klarna and SEPA on-ramps continue to support book depth, linking deposit friction directly to market liquidity.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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