🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Trade "Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $165K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-12.5) vs The Last Resort (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)0%

Market context

The Last Resort and QUAZAR face off in a decisive Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match for Group B of the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1, scheduled to begin at 9:00 AM ET on 13 July. With the crowd-implied probability for The Last Resort sitting at 0% YES, the market reflects a near-total consensus favouring QUAZAR, suggesting either a significant disparity in recent form or critical roster advantages for the latter.

Historically, such extreme probabilities in ESL Challenger deciders often precede either a dominant victory for the favoured side or a market correction if an unannounced roster issue emerges for the underdog. Comparable cases from the 2025 European circuit show that when pre-match odds exceed 95% for one team, the outcome usually aligns with the consensus unless a late cancellation triggers the 50-50 settlement clause, a scenario that remains unlikely given the match’s confirmed status.

Traders should monitor official ESL announcements for any last-minute roster changes or schedule shifts, as these dependencies directly impact book depth and funding flows. A recent ESL Challenger update confirmed the match will proceed as planned, but any delay beyond seven days would reset the market to an even split, altering the risk profile for those using Klarna or SEPA on-ramps to position before the settlement window closes on 13 July at 19:00 UTC.

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
Which payment methods are supported?
Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
What's the minimum deposit?
10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
and

Trade Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ES… on Polymarket Klarna UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →