Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-12.5) vs The Last Resort (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Last Resort and QUAZAR face off in a decisive Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match for Group B of the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1, scheduled to begin at 9:00 AM ET on 13 July. With the crowd-implied probability for The Last Resort sitting at 0% YES, the market reflects a near-total consensus favouring QUAZAR, suggesting either a significant disparity in recent form or critical roster advantages for the latter.
Historically, such extreme probabilities in ESL Challenger deciders often precede either a dominant victory for the favoured side or a market correction if an unannounced roster issue emerges for the underdog. Comparable cases from the 2025 European circuit show that when pre-match odds exceed 95% for one team, the outcome usually aligns with the consensus unless a late cancellation triggers the 50-50 settlement clause, a scenario that remains unlikely given the match’s confirmed status.
Traders should monitor official ESL announcements for any last-minute roster changes or schedule shifts, as these dependencies directly impact book depth and funding flows. A recent ESL Challenger update confirmed the match will proceed as planned, but any delay beyond seven days would reset the market to an even split, altering the risk profile for those using Klarna or SEPA on-ramps to position before the settlement window closes on 13 July at 19:00 UTC.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
Trade Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ES… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →