Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ECHO (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Sharks (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Sharks (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-9.5) vs Sharks (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ECHO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Sharks (-6.5) vs ECHO (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
On 28 June 2026, Sharks Esports and Echo faced off in the third-place decider of the Super Draculan Season 1 Counter-Strike 2 LAN in Bucharest, a $150k event where Echo secured a 2–1 victory after winning Inferno 13–9 and Ancient 13–8, while losing Nuke 13–16[1][2]. This result confirms the market’s 0% YES probability for Sharks, as the match has already concluded with Echo as the winner, rendering any future bet on Sharks impossible to settle favourably. Historical precedents in similar BO3 third-place deciders show that once a match is completed and a winner determined, prediction markets resolve immediately to that outcome, with no retraction or adjustment even if pre-match odds were skewed[3].
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any post-match disputes or forfeiture claims, though current records indicate no such dependencies exist[2]. The catalyst for this market’s book depth is not future play but the funding flows that drove its initial liquidity: deposit friction via Klarna and SEPA rails, combined with USDC withdrawal rails, created a temporary on-ramp surge that inflated volume to $244.54 before settlement[3]. Recent news from the Global Offensive community confirms the match’s finality and Echo’s dominance, with no indication of delays beyond the seven-day window or tie scenarios that would trigger a 50–50 resolution[2]. The market’s traction is entirely tied to these payment infrastructure dynamics, not competitive uncertainty.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
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