Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs NEW VISION (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs NEW VISION (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
QUAZAR’s BO3 against NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In is priced as a strong favourite by bookmakers, with QUAZAR around 1.39 and NEW VISION around 2.78, which is consistent with a market expecting QUAZAR to win but not treating the series as risk-free.[1] That backdrop helps explain why a 0% YES crowd price can persist when liquidity is thin: prediction markets often lag when traders face deposit friction, fee uncertainty, or slower withdrawal rails, and that is especially true in smaller esports books where the order book is shallow and one-sided.
The recent form line is mixed rather than decisive. NEW VISION have at least one clean 2–0 win over benched gods in the same CCT Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier, showing they can close a BO3 when the bracket opens up, while QUAZAR were active in a nearby Polymarket esports market that drew about $75.1K of volume, indicating that this part of the market can attract funding when traders can move money in easily.[2][4] In practice, the key read is not just team strength but whether enough capital is entering through low-friction payment routes such as Klarna, SEPA, or USDC to thicken the book before settlement.
For traders, the important catalysts are operational rather than tactical: confirmation that the match actually starts, whether the official bracket has been updated on time, and whether any delay pushes the fixture outside the settlement window. One schedule source lists the broader CCT Europe 2026 Series 6 Play-In as running from 21–23 July, which is already in tension with the market’s 26 July timetable, so checking for rescheduling or a late-stage admin change matters as much as the teams themselves.[3] If the series is postponed beyond seven days without a result, or abandoned after a start, the market rules point to a 50–50 outcome rather than a standard win settlement.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Play-In with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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