Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
Market context
Patins da Ferrari defeated ODDIK 2–0 in their Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match at the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage on 19 July 2026, confirming the outcome that the prediction market now reflects at 100% YES probability[2]. The match, originally scheduled for 6:00PM ET, concluded without delay or cancellation, satisfying all settlement conditions for a clear winner and eliminating any 50-50 resolution risk.
Historically, prediction markets on completed esports matches with decisive results like this 2–0 scoreline resolve rapidly once official match data is verified, often within hours of the final map[2]. Comparable cases in CCT South America tournaments show that when bookmakers initially assign a narrow favourite—here Patins da Ferrari at 53% implied win probability—but the match ends decisively, market liquidity collapses toward certainty as settlement becomes unavoidable[1][4]. This pattern mirrors past CS2 group-stage matches where early odds diverged from actual performance, yet final results drove immediate price convergence.
Traders should monitor the official CCT South America Series 4 results page and bo3.gg match archives for any post-match corrections, though no such adjustments are currently indicated[2]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T04:00:00Z and the match already completed, the primary dependency is the platform’s verification of the 2–0 result, which has already been publicly recorded[2]. Funding flows into this market via Klarna and SEPA on-ramps have likely accelerated post-result, as depth in the book now reflects the certainty of Patins da Ferrari’s victory rather than speculative positioning[5].
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - C… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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