Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs Red Feet (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-3.5) vs Red Feet (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RF (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-9.5) vs paiN Academy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-9.5) vs Red Feet (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: paiN Academy (-6.5) vs Red Feet (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Red Feet (-3.5) vs paiN Academy (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 Round 5 match between paiN Academy and Red Feet, scheduled for 3:00 PM ET on 5 July 2026 within the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage. The market currently shows a 100% crowd-implied probability that paiN Academy will win, reflecting overwhelming confidence in their superiority over Red Feet.
Historical precedents in South American CS2 suggest that when a team holds a top-tier ranking and a strong head-to-head record, markets often converge to near-certainty before the match begins. paiN Academy, ranked #179 globally and having won two of their last five matches, faces Red Feet, who lack comparable recent form. Strafe users have already predicted a paiN victory with 95.1% of votes, mirroring the current 100% market probability and reinforcing the view that this outcome is highly probable [2].
Traders should monitor official CCT South America announcements for any schedule changes or match cancellations, as these would reset the market to a 50-50 resolution. Additionally, watch for live score updates on Sofascore or HLTV, which provide real-time validation of team performance and map outcomes [3]. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner would also trigger the 50-50 settlement clause, making timing dependencies critical for risk assessment. The depth of this book is driven by funding flows from payment rails like SEPA and USDC, where deposit fees and withdrawal friction influence how quickly capital enters the market to back the dominant side.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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