Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Benched gods (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-6.5) vs Benched gods (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Benched gods (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-3.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-6.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Benched gods (-9.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
Market context
ex-MANA eSports face Benched gods in a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match at the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier, Series 5, Group D, with the contest set to begin today at 10:00 AM ET. The market currently implies a 0% probability that ex-MANA will win, suggesting the crowd views them as virtually certain to lose or that the event faces severe uncertainty regarding its occurrence.
Historically, prediction markets assigning near-zero probability to a team in a live esports qualifier often signal either a mismatch in skill tier or a logistical failure preventing the match from starting. In comparable CCT qualifiers, teams with 0% implied win rates have either been disqualified before play, faced roster collapses, or entered as last-minute replacements with no prior competitive record, leading to settlements at 50-50 when matches are cancelled rather than played.
Traders should monitor the official CCT Europe schedule and team communication channels for confirmation that the match is proceeding, as delays beyond seven days or cancellations trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent coverage of the CCT Europe qualifiers highlights that on-ramp friction via Klarna and SEPA has driven significant deposit volume into esports books, but liquidity remains thin when match integrity is questioned; any announcement confirming roster availability or a delay will directly impact book depth and the viability of the current pricing.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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