Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Guara Esports (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Guara Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Guara Esports (-9.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-6.5) vs Guara Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
Market context
The underlying event is a Counter-Strike 2 match between Guara Esports and Procyon Gaming, scheduled for 16:00 UTC on 3 July 2026 in the CCT South America Group Stage. This bout forms part of the series 3 group stage, with the market resolving to the winner of the Round 4 contest, currently priced at a 100% YES probability for Procyon Gaming.
Historical head-to-head data frames this certainty: Procyon Gaming holds a two-match losing streak against Guara but has won one of their last five encounters, suggesting a volatile but ultimately Procyon-dominant trajectory in this specific format[2]. Comparable cases in regional CS2 tournaments show that when a team secures a 100% crowd-implied probability, it often reflects verified line-up stability and prior map-handicap coverage, as seen in Kalshi’s verified outcomes from HLTV and Gamers World[5]. Such probabilities typically emerge only after funding flows confirm book depth, linking market traction directly to deposit rails like SEPA and USDC.
Traders should monitor the official map selection announcement and any pre-match roster changes, as dependencies on player availability can shift odds rapidly. Recent pre-match tips from 1xBet indicate that the main market remains the match winner, with odds available until kickoff, reinforcing the need to watch for late-line adjustments before the 12:00 PM EDT start time[3]. The settlement window closes on 3 July 2026 at 22:00 UTC, making timely verification via HLTV critical for outcome confirmation.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3… on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →