Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: BTF (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs Rune Eaters (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-9.5) vs Rune Eaters (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-6.5) vs Butterfly (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-3.5) vs Butterfly (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Butterfly (-6.5) vs Rune Eaters (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Butterfly are scheduled to play Rune Eaters in a best-of-three Round of 16 tie in the CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs, with the market resolving on the match winner. The current 100% YES price implies the book is treating Butterfly as a certainty, but the underlying event is still a standard single-elimination CS2 series, so any delay, abandonment, or non-completion logic matters more than in a simple winner market[1][4].
Comparable CCT Europe matches suggest these markets can be heavily shaped by a few visible inputs: team ranking, recent BO3 form, and whether the series actually gets underway on time. Butterfly were listed as clear favourites in pre-match ratings, while Rune Eaters have recently shown they can win close sets, including a 2–1 over UNiTY in the same event[1][9]. In a small-cap esports book, that kind of form line can matter disproportionately because liquidity tends to concentrate where traders can get in and out quickly, especially when deposit and withdrawal rails are frictionless rather than tied up in card chargebacks or slower bank transfers.
For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the bracket slot remains intact, whether the match starts within the posted window, and whether any schedule change is announced by the organiser or scoreboard partners before the settlement cut-off[4][8]. CCT Europe Series #6 is running online from late July to 8 August, and the playoffs are a fixed best-of-three bracket, so there is limited room for rescheduling if earlier rounds overrun[4][14]. That makes funding speed relevant as well: when users can top up via SEPA, Klarna, or USDC with less on-ramp friction, depth often appears fastest around live or near-live esports events, where late information can still move a thin market[4][7].
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?
- Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.
- What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?
- UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.
- How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?
- Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).
Trade Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT… on Polymarket Klarna UK
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