Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Gentle Mates (+9.5) | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-12.5) vs Gentle Mates (+12.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Lower Bracket Quarterfinals 1 of the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs has already concluded, with 3DMAX defeating Gentle Mates 2–0 in their Counter-Strike match scheduled for 17 July. This decisive result confirms the 100% YES crowd-implied probability, as the winner is now a settled fact rather than a forecast. The match, initially set for 6:00 AM ET, finished within the settlement window ending 17 July at 16:00 UTC, leaving no ambiguity for resolution.
Historically, prediction markets on completed esports matches with a 100% implied probability resolve instantly once the official score is verified, as seen in prior Stake Ranked episodes where Best-of-3 outcomes eliminated draw risks. Comparable cases from ESL Pro League Season 22 show that teams like 3DMAX and Gentle Mates, who previously advanced to playoffs together, maintain consistent performance levels that prevent late-stage cancellations or tie scenarios, ensuring clean settlement without the 50–50 fallback clause triggering.
Traders should monitor the official bo3.gg match page for final score confirmation and any post-match administrative updates, though the 2–0 result is already recorded. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain relevant, as the event has passed. The book depth driving this market’s liquidity stems directly from frictionless on-ramp flows via Klarna and SEPA, which allow rapid deposit and withdrawal in USDC, aligning funding speed with the immediacy of the settled outcome.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
- You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
Trade Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake … on Polymarket Klarna UK
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