Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 99% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 99% |
| Map 3 Winner | 95% |
| Match Winner | 67% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 55% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | 49% |
| Map 4 Winner | 46% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EF (-2.5) vs 1WIN (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: 1WIN (-2.5) vs Eternal Fire (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
1WIN and Eternal Fire are scheduled to play a best-of-five grand final in the European Pro League Series 8 playoffs, with the event listed for 24 July and the match page still showing no volume at the time of capture.[1][2] The market is already priced at **100% YES**, which leaves little room for additional information unless the fixture changes, because a settled final generally attracts the most concentrated interest only once the result is effectively known.[1]
For context, 1WIN entered the market as the bookmaker favourite, with Flapscore listing 1.69 on 1WIN and 2.69 on Eternal Fire, implying a meaningful edge before the series begins.[3] That sort of pricing is useful for reading a near-certain prediction-market line: if the book and the event schedule both remain intact, a fully converged price often reflects expectations that the match will be played and resolved normally, rather than a strong belief in one side beyond the outright result.[1][3]
The main catalysts are operational rather than competitive: whether the grand final starts on time, whether the BO5 format is confirmed, and whether there is any schedule slip that could push settlement risk beyond the market’s window. For traders focused on funding flows, depth can be shaped by how easily participants can get money in and out; lower-friction rails such as Klarna, SEPA and USDC typically support more active order flow than slower withdrawals or higher-fee on-ramps, especially into a near-fully priced market where only a few fresh deposits can move the book.
Methodology
This page compares Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO5) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- What's the minimum deposit?
- 10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).
- Are payment details protected?
- Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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