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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Trade "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" — Klarna, SOFORT, SEPA, USDC: every payment rail at a glance.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) 77% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 52% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 47% Volume: $1.0M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)77%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.542%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)32%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)31%
Map 2 Winner24%
O/U 2.5 Games24%
Match Winner8%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

100 Thieves face Spirit in a best-of-three at the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, and the market’s 28% YES price puts the North American side in underdog territory. That is broadly consistent with pre-match sentiment in the wider CS2 market, where Spirit were priced as the clear favourite: BO3.gg lists Spirit as the winner at 2.48, while several betting previews put Spirit around 1.10–1.14, implying a much higher win chance than the crowd has assigned to 100 Thieves.[1][5][6]

For traders, the main read-through is not just match quality but funding friction. Short-lived esports books often move on fresh deposits, and the depth here will depend on how easily users can top up via Klarna-style card flows, SEPA transfers, or stablecoin rails such as USDC; lower-friction on-ramps typically bring in faster speculative money and sharper repricing. In practice, that means any burst in deposit activity can tighten spreads quickly when line-up news lands, while slower bank transfers can leave the market thinner than the headline interest suggests.

The key catalysts are confirmation of the start time, any change to the Round of 16 schedule, and whether both teams field their expected line-ups without last-minute substitutions. Because the market only resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, is delayed beyond seven days, or ends without a winner, traders also need to watch for tournament operations updates rather than only in-game form. Recent preview coverage has continued to frame Spirit as the stronger side, so any sign of map-pool or roster disruption would be the clearest route to a repricing away from that baseline.[5][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?
You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.
How fast is SEPA deposit?
SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
Can I deposit with a credit card?
Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
How do withdrawals work?
Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Are payment details protected?
Yes. Card and bank details are never stored by Polymarket Klarna UK — they pass directly through PCI-DSS compliant payment service providers (Adyen, Stripe). Polymarket Klarna UK retains only transaction IDs and Klarna reference numbers for reconciliation.
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