Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Klarna UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| A | 50% |
| B | 50% |
| C | 50% |
| D | 50% |
| E | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| Vitality | 28% |
| Falcons | 26% |
| Spirit | 25% |
| FURIA | 9% |
| G2 | 4% |
| Aurora | 3% |
| MOUZ | 3% |
| FUT | 2% |
| The MongolZ | 1% |
| GamerLegion | 1% |
| Astralis | 1% |
| magic | 1% |
| paiN | 1% |
| FaZe | 1% |
| Liquid | 1% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1% |
| Alliance | 1% |
| 3DMAX | 1% |
| EYEBALLERS | 1% |
| HEROIC | 1% |
| M80 | 0% |
| Sharks | 0% |
| Nemesis | 0% |
| Gentle Mates | 0% |
| Wildcard | 0% |
| SINNERS | 0% |
| FOKUS | 0% |
| Nuclear TigeRES | 0% |
| HOTU | 0% |
| 100 Thieves | 0% |
| OG | 0% |
| Nemiga | 0% |
Market context
BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 kicks off today at the BLAST Studio in Malta, pitting 32 top Counter-Strike 2 teams against each other for a $1,150,000 prize pool, with the champion securing $60,000. The event runs until 2 August, and the market currently assigns a 24% probability to the YES outcome, reflecting the competitive uncertainty inherent in a 32-team bracket where no single side dominates the odds.
Historical data from similar BLAST Bounty seasons shows that early-stage tournaments often produce volatile winner markets, with top-tier teams like FaZe Clan or Team Vitality frequently hovering between 20–30% pre-event probability before narrowing or widening based on opening match results. Comparable events in 2024 and 2025 saw winner probabilities shift by 15–20% within the first 48 hours, driven by form fluctuations and map-specific performance, suggesting the current 24% figure is a reasonable baseline rather than an outlier.
Traders should monitor the opening matchups released today, as early upsets can rapidly alter book depth and liquidity. Key catalysts include player availability announcements, potential roster changes, and any delays in the Play-in stage, which could trigger the market’s “Other” resolution clause if the event extends past 16 August. Recent coverage from CS2News confirms the full lineup is set, but no winner has been declared yet, meaning all positions remain open for price discovery as funding flows through Klarna, SEPA, and USDC rails deepen the market’s liquidity.
Methodology
This page compares BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).
FAQ
- What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?
- Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.
- Which payment methods are supported?
- Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.
- How fast is SEPA deposit?
- SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.
- Can I deposit with a credit card?
- Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.
- How do withdrawals work?
- Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).
Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner on Polymarket Klarna UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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