What price will Bitcoin hit on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin’s August 10 print is being priced against a market that still sits in the mid-$60,000s, with third-party forecasts clustering close to the current zone: CoinCodex puts 10 August at about $65,614, MEXC at $65,266.77, and CoinCheckup at $65,839.[3][5][10] On Polymarket, the dominant band for the same day is $64,000–$66,000 at 88%, with $66,000–$68,000 the next most likely at 9%, which leaves the tails thin and helps explain why the crowd-implied probability on a single exact hit can stay close to zero even when the broader range is active.[7] Comparable forecast pages for 2026 also frame Bitcoin as range-bound rather than breakout-prone, with most near-term models keeping the coin around the mid-$60,000s to low-$70,000s.[1][4][17]

For a market framed around payments and on-ramp friction, the key catalyst is not just price direction but whether fresh fiat and stablecoin rails make it easier for marginal buyers to enter, move funds, and redeploy capital. Watch for roll-outs or timetable updates on card and bank deposit options such as Klarna, SEPA transfers, and USDC withdrawal support, because smoother funding flows tend to feed book depth and tighten spreads rather than move spot on their own. Near-term macro data can still matter if it changes risk appetite, but the immediate trading focus is on operational access: exchange support notices, settlement times for euro deposits, and any change in stablecoin off-ramp capacity. When those rails improve, prediction-market liquidity typically follows the money, even if the underlying Bitcoin price itself remains stuck in a narrow band.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares What price will Bitcoin hit on August 10? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

How fast is SEPA deposit?

SEPA Instant: under 10 seconds. SEPA Standard: 1-2 business days. Both accepted fee-free; the internal USDC conversion runs automatically once EUR lands in the platform account.

Can UK traders use Klarna to deposit on Polymarket?

Polymarket does not natively accept Klarna. To fund a Polymarket account from the UK, you must first purchase USDC via a crypto exchange (Coinbase UK, Kraken) or Revolut, then transfer to a Polygon-compatible wallet. Some third-party on-ramps (MoonPay, Transak) accept UK debit cards and may support Klarna buy-now-pay-later for crypto purchases.

What payment methods can UK users use for Polymarket?

UK traders typically use: (1) Coinbase UK or Kraken — buy USDC with GBP debit card or bank transfer; (2) Revolut — buy crypto and send to wallet; (3) MoonPay or Transak — Visa/Mastercard UK debit card directly to USDC on Polygon. Standard GBP-to-USDC conversion fees range from 0.5–2.5%.

How long do Polymarket withdrawals take for UK users?

Polymarket withdrawals to your Polygon wallet are instant (on-chain). Converting USDC back to GBP via Coinbase UK or Kraken typically takes 1–3 business days for bank transfer, or near-instant for Revolut. Polygon gas fees are minimal (<$0.01 per transaction).